Political Coffee

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Freedom Friday Republicans win the battle, but will they win the war? Depends on the next election and they need to improve their messaging if they are going to win. Dems shut down the session. https://www.gazettetimes.com/news/local/elections/state-legislative-session-implodes/article_cdc8668a-0dee-5635-815f-cea26a543267.html#tracking-source=home-top-story-1 Kate says she will implement carbon reduction by executive action: she can only do so with state agencies and cannot force her destructive agenda on the rest of us without legislative action as it would be unconstitutional: https://www.tillamookheadlightherald.com/news/governor-issues-statement-on-legislative-adjournment/article_9e36412a-5f38-11ea-9c08-335cec866863.html Blowout jobs report but the market tanks because of coronovirus threats: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/06/us-jobs-report-february-2020.html

Why would a politician give into political pressure to approve a policy that seriously hurts a large number of people they serve? Knopp/Helt get their egos fed with Portland Trib story that says they aren’t staying at the legislature because of being worried about the next election. It’s a lie and they don’t deserve to serve if they cannot defend themselves to part of their constituents. https://pamplinmedia.com/pt/9-news/454599-370929-last-republicans-standing-lawmakers-await-colleagues-return– Carbon Energy Sales Tax will die today if Republicans stay on strike against the totalitarian regressive marxists who propose an idea that hurts the poor and middle class, destroys the rural economy and wont make any difference at all in global carbon emissions. https://oregoncatalyst.com/46553-oregon-carbon-tax-72cent-gas-tax-set-die-today.html

OR Democrats won’t let the coronovirus crisis to go to waste: They are teeing up accusing Legislative R’s who are in other states on strike of putting Oregonians in danger because they need to come back and pass emergency legislation to deal with Coronovirus. It’s a lie as Gov Kate has broad powers to deal with it without the legislature’s help. Dems will use this issue in the fall. https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/03/with-coronavirus-spreading-in-oregon-will-republicans-rethink-their-capitol-boycott.html Kate asks Trump for 3 to 7M per month for Coronovirus: really Kate? You beat up Trump constantly and then you ask him to help you? And, don’t you already have enough money to deal with the potential problem with the 200M you have been offering wayward R’s on the lam to buy them back into the building? https://www.kezi.com/content/news/Gov-Brown-asks-for-7M-10M-a-month-to-help-with-coronavirus–568471071.html Timber Unity is being smeared by the left because TU is so effective: Rules for Radicals tactics: https://www.wweek.com/news/state/2020/03/03/a-report-says-oregons-republican-protesters-are-mingling-with-fringe-figures/ Timber Unity OPED in Catalyst: We are more than timber and we are gonna vote! That’s what scares Dems the most. https://oregoncatalyst.com/46520-timber-unity-fight.html

Today’s super tuesday primaries in 14 states will determine how elections go in Oregon in November because if Bernie wins today, he is almost unstoppable the fall election will be all about socialism versus liberty. The momentum is moving towards conservatism with legislative R’s continuing to go on strike out of state. https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/03/oregon-republicans-walkout-over-climate-cap-and-trade-bill-now-at-day-6-kotek-and-courtney-say-no-last-minute-deals.html Legislative Dems are being challenged by socialists because they arent far left enough. This only helps us in OR if Bernie wins: https://www.oregonlive.com/politics/2020/03/tigard-school-board-member-challenges-longtime-portland-sen-ginny-burdick-3rd-democrat-to-challenge-a-sitting-lawmaker-in-2020-primary.html Bernies Green New Deal will cost households in 11 states $70,000 in the first year alone! It’s not far from OR’s Cap and Tax ideas: https://cei.org/content/study-green-new-deal-could-cost-households-11-states-least-70k-just-first-year-after Rural OR has first case of Coronavirus in eastern Oregon. A casino worker. https://www.wweek.com/news/2020/03/02/in-rural-oregon-a-third-case-of-coronavirus-is-diagnosed/

Two main points that could persuade the persuadable on why the OR R’s have walked out. Rep Reschke’s article in the OR Catalyst points out that: 1.OR’s law establishing CO2 emissions standards is based on a guess and not real data from 1990 because govt didn’t even measure CO2 in 1990. 2. plus Japan has announced it’s building 22 new coal fired power plants for electrical generation, (more CO2 emission than the entire U.S. transportation system emits in an entire year) demonstrating that OR’s one tenth of 1% of CO2 emission globally will make no difference at all. https://oregoncatalyst.com/46508-oregon-global-impact.html Sen Kim Thatcher who is on strike against the tyranny of the majority donates her $151 per diem to the Vietnam Veterans War Memorial Fund in OR in honor of the late Dennis Richardson. https://oregoncatalyst.com/46505-sen-thatcher-donates-diem-pay-war-memorial.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+OregonCatalyst+%28The+Oregon+Catalyst%29 Oregonian headline blames Trump for slumping world economy as a result of Coronavirus: read the story and there’s no logical nexus. https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/02/coronavirus-effect-on-world-economy-grows-after-donald-trump-lashes-out.html

Freedom Friday We are winning and the Dems are desperate. Kate is threatening to declare a climate emergency and suspend the Oregon constitution’s quorum requirement. I don’t think she will because there are far more negatives for her personally and it may threaten Democrat control of the legislature, not to mention Treasurer, SOS and AG races. The House decides to subpoena striking House R’s even though they admit the subpoena’s are not allowed in Oregon’s constitution. https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/02/oregon-house-democrats-vote-to-subpoena-missing-republicans.html Far left, radical state senator Fagan announces she will run for SOS: oh goody! https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/02/democrat-shemia-fagan-announces-she-will-run-for-secretary-of-state.html

Persuasion: what we say and how we say it makes all the difference in cutting through the digital noise and effectively communicating with others. If OR House and Senate R’s communicate effectively about how why they walked out can they negate the Dems demographic advantage in some legislative districts? https://www.oregonlive.com/politics/2020/02/demographics-drive-republican-party-nosedive-on-west-coast.html Dems up the ante with new legislation that’s even worse than carbon tax, but in reality they just gave R’s even more reason to stay away: https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/02/oregon-democrats-advance-more-aggressive-potential-paths-to-regulate-carbon-emissions-than-cap-and-trade-bill.html Republican state representative Bill Post interview on why he is on strike and out of state:

Why should any Republican legislator compromise on Carbon tax if it ultimately destroys the lives of their constituents? Gov wants R’s to come back and allow carbon tax to pass with delays in it’s eventual implementation in rural areas. https://www.oregonlive.com/politics/2020/02/oregon-house-republicans-join-senate-republicans-in-capitol-walk-out-over-climate-bill.html House Republicans unexpectedly walked out yesterday to join Senate Republicans who have left the state. Who is winning the messaging wars? Sen Kim Thatcher says a boycott is necessary to stop bad laws from hurting good people so is that more persuasive than Dems message of do your job? https://oregoncatalyst.com/46461-sen-thatcher-boycott-stops-bad-laws-hurting-good-people.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+OregonCatalyst+%28The+Oregon+Catalyst%29 PERS escalating costs is the real reason Kate and the Dems are desperate to pass another new tax. https://oregonbusinessreport.com/2020/02/expect-1b-in-new-taxes-annually-to-fund-state-debt/ Political momentum has moved towards conservatives and Republicans nationally which helps us in Oregon:: Fox News hits all time viewership high, up 35% from last year while CNN and MSNBC went down, especially in the 27 to 54 demographic which is the bellwether everyone watches. https://thehill.com/homenews/media/484592-fox-news-primetime-lineup-delivers-highest-ratings-in-network-history

Republican Senators walk out to stop the Carbon Tax; does it help them with swing voters or hurt them? Does it depend on their messaging? https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/02/oregon-senate-republicans-announce-walkout-over-climate-cap-and-trade-bill.html https://oregoncatalyst.com/46459-senate-gop-walks-carbon-tax-sham-demand-public-vote.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+OregonCatalyst+%28The+Oregon+Catalyst%29 Nationwide poll shows Crazy Bernie will hurt Dems downticket: Red Flag as this is a Bloomberg internal poll, but if it is true, it helps us in OR https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/25/bloomberg-internal-poll-claims-bernie-would-hurt-downballot-dems-117290

Republicans walk out of the short session tonight: the carbon energy sales tax moves out of ways and means committee today and that triggers the walkout. https://katu.com/news/local/cap-and-trade-progresses-amid-controversy Sen Knopp tells his caucus he isn’t walking out with them because he thinks its the only way to keep the seat in his Republican hands. He is ignoring the devastating Legislative Revenue report that says they cannot figure out how much cap and tax will cost the state. He also refuses to defend his walking out by reporting that Australia repealed their carbon tax because it dramatically raised the cost of living. https://www.oregonlegislature.gov/senaterepublicans/SiteAssets/HB%204167%20Revenue%20Statement.pdf Hotel tax increase passes the House with a bunch of R’s voting yes even with revelation that the agency that gets most of that money pays its CEO nearly 400k per year: it’s so bad that even the Dem speaker Kotek and a bunch of Dems voted no because she knows that this vote could be used very effectively against her vulnerable members in swing districts. Add this to Crazy Bernie’s unstoppable momentum after winning the Nevada caucus with big numbers and Oregon can absolutely move back to the center, but only if R’s stand firm and walk out. […]



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